Recent history suggests Kentucky Derby champion Always Dreaming has a good shot at winning the Preakness on Saturday.
Always Dreaming will attempt to be the fourth Kentucky Derby winner in the last six years to finish first in the Preakness. In fact, seven of the last 15 Kentucky Derby victors also went on to win the second leg of the Triple Crown two weeks later.
Here’s a rundown at how the last 15 Kentucky Derby winners fared in the Preakness. Their Preakness finish is in parentheses.
2002: War Emblem (1st)
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Notes: War Emblem posted a three-quarter length victory over Magic Weisner. War Emblem went on to finish eighth in the Belmont Stakes, which was won by Sarava.
2003: Funny Cide (1st)
Notes: Funny Cide won the Preakness by 9 ¾ lengths over Midway Road. Funny Cide finished third in the Belmont Stakes and was five lengths behind Empire Maker, which hadn’t run in the Preakness.
2004: Smarty Jones (1st)
Notes: Smarty Jones won the Preakness by a record 11 ½ lengths over second-place Rock Hard Ten. Smarty Jones also led the Belmont Stakes for much of the way before getting passed late in the race and losing by a length to Birdstone.
2005: Giacomo (3rd)
Notes: Giacomo was a surprise winner of the Kentucky Derby while overcoming 50-1 odds. Giacomo got stuck with an outside post in the Preakness and finished 9 ¾ lengths behind the favored Afleet Alex.
2006: Barbaro (Injured)
Notes: Barbaro broke down at the start of the Preakness and had a fracture above and below his right rear ankle. Barbaro was euthanized several months later due to complications from that injury. The 2006 Preakness winner was Bernardini.
2007: Street Sense (2nd)
Notes: Street Sense led the Preakness during the stretch run and appeared on the way to victory before Curlin pulled ahead on the final stride.
2008: Big Brown (1st)
Notes: Big Brown rolled to…