The latest analysis of the GOP’s health care bill concludes that the plan would leave 14 million more people uninsured next year if it becomes law, a number that rises to 23 million by 2026.
The bill, known as the American Health Care Act, passed the House with only one vote to spare earlier this month.
The new analysis by the Congressional Budget Office shows little improvement in the number of uninsured from the scoring done on past iterations of the bill, which ultimately were not voted upon.
The CBO’s estimate also indicates that the Republican health care plan would reduce the federal deficit by $119 billion oven ten years. The slight revision from the previous estimates will allow Senate Republicans to avoid a Democratic filibuster.
Senate budget rules require the AHCA to save $2 billion over ten years in order to be taken up under reconciliation – a process that would allow Senate Republicans to pass the bill with only 51 votes
If the nonpartisan CBO determined that the bill didn’t pass muster for reconciliation, Democrats would have been able to hold up the bill with a filibuster which could have sent the bill back to House Republicans to amend and hold another vote.
An earlier analysis of the bill estimated that 24 million Americans would lose health insurance by 2026 if it becomes law.
Wednesday’s report also estimates that the GOP bill would raise premiums over time for people who are less healthy in states that seek and receive the controversial waivers from rules enforcing the coverage of pre-existing conditions from the Department of Health and Human Services.
The analysis appears to undermine the Republican argument that the proposal wouldn’t impact Americans with pre-existing conditions. The CBO indicates that it would by making health care less affordable for some consumers.
“Community-rated premiums would rise over time, and people who are less healthy (including those with preexisting or newly acquired medical conditions)…